@HadleyMyers The key is to not assume apriori modeling that simply because the raw response data is not normally distributed that OLS modeling assumptions will not be met. At the very least try an OLS model...then if the residuals are NOT normally distributed, time to consider some alternative modeling approaches...transforming variables, alternative modeling techniques, etc.
People, especially newer practitioners of statistical methods, often times get hung up on this 'the data has to be normally distributed to (fill in the blank statistical methods)." I can't tell you how many times over the years people told me, "I can't use control charts because my data is not normally distributed."