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Album: Public (Bill_Worley)

by Staff Bill_Worley
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Summed scaled difference for Inflation and Hybrid methods. Think of the y-axis as income years.
Market returns, inflation and retirement performance 1961 – 1963
Balance and withdrawal for Inflation vs. Hybrid approaches 1961 – 1963
33 years where Hybrid approach had a non-zero scaled and summed withdrawal amount, but Inflation amount was 0.
Summed scaled difference for starting years where Inflation balance reached zero before the end of the horizon period.
Yearly scaled withdrawal difference
Ending balance for years where Inflation reached zero.
Ending balance for years where Inflation did not reach zero.
Results for retirements starting 1969 – 1974. Both 1969 and 1973 went to zero prematurely.
Years remaining balance
Comparison of Inflation and Hybrid: number of observations in withdrawal reduction bins by year
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Figure 2. Partial Least Squares model with Raw data.
Figure 1. Partial Least Squares model set up and output.
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Figure 3. Partial Least Squares model with Pre-Processed data.
Figure 4. Partial Least Squares model comparison with Raw and Pre-Processed data.
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Figure 5 – Elastic Net solution paths for Raw data.
Figure 6 - Fit Statistics for Gen Reg with Raw Data
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Figure 7 -  Elastic Net solution paths for Pre-Processed data.
Figure 8 - Fit Statistics for Gen Reg with Pre-Processed Data.
Figure 9 – Model comparison for Gen Reg with Raw and  Pre-Processed Data.
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Figure 11 – Comparison of Neural Net fits for raw and pre-processed data.  In both cases the data was fit with a hyperbolic tangent activation function with 1 layer and 3 hidden nodes using a fixed 20% validation column for cross-validation.
Figure 13 - Comparison of SVR model fits for Raw and Pre-Processed data.
Figure 12 – Comparison of Bootstrap Forest fits for Raw and Pre-Processed data.
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Summed scaled difference for starting years where Inflation balance reached zero before the end of the horizon period.
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Added ‎01-28-2022 03:56 PM
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Summed scaled difference for starting years where Inflation balance reached zero before the end of the horizon period.
Posted in: How long will it last? A deeper look at retirement scenarios - ( ‎02-01-2022 09:48 AM )

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